ETA: Bob, Actually, this went pretty well, even though you're heading in a direction that wasn't the one you wanted.
After d-day, if R is a possibility, the BS's best approach is to test the WS to find out if they're a good candidate for R. You did that, and your W didn't show herself to be one.
That's a win for you.
I know it's hard to break up a LT M - but it's probably better to D than to stay in an M with an unremorseful WS. At the very least, D frees you to find other sources of joy.
*****
** Not Posting as Staff **
The quickest reference I've found is from Dec. 7, 2021
"Extensive research conducted by the American Psychological Association found that 53% of couples who experienced infidelity in their marriage were divorced within 5 years, even with therapy. The study says that couples who have been unfaithful are three times more likely to separate than monogamous couples."
That's from a 2014 article based on a sample of 19 couples. Just to be clear, no one - no one - is justified in generalizing from a sample that small.
The General Social Survey is a rigorous study with a long record, but there's evidence that people respond differently to interviews and anonymous surveys, and the GSS is, IIRC, based on interviews. Besides, I don't think they go into outcomes of infidelity.
Further, there's no clear definition of 'true R' or 'truly significant magnitude'. Remember: even 1% of the US population is well over 1,000,000 people. Besides, It's not for your or me to define the quality of someone else's relationship. I'm OK with saying, 'I wouldn't accept that.' Telling someone they shouldn't accept something depends on what that something is. Sometimes one just has to accept 'good enough' or 'the best solution I could come up with'. Sometimes that's means joy; sometimes not.
Most important is that SI members are individuals, and statistics do not apply to individuals. Each of us has to find our own solution. Each of us has to make their own decisions, no matter what the probabilities are. And there's no disputing that some longshots (10:1, 100:1, 1000:1) pay off.
We know from testimony and surveys of non-random samples that a lot of us D and a lot of us R. We know some people stay together unhappily. We know some people D unhappily. We know some people stay together and the A has ripples 10, 20, 30 years afterwards.
The only conclusion supported by the data we have is: we don't know much about infidelity statistics and probabilities. All we have are anecdotal data and surveys of self-selected samples.
How and why do people draw firm, supposedly statistics-based conclusions on infidelity even though the data don't support them? Why not accept that we don't know the numbers?
My bet: confirmation bias, at best, but I'm interested in reading how people tell themselves they know what they can't.
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I didn't read Glass's book..but how can that possibly be used as an example?
Glass documented her numbers but made no claim that they were representative. The conclusion I drew was this: If both partners say they want to R and do the necessary work, they'll R. The couples she cites had her therapeutic help, but that is no longer available, so I discounted it.
'If both partners say they want to R and do the necessary work, they'll R' looks like a truism to me. Does it not describe your experience?
[This message edited by SI Staff at 4:16 PM, Monday, May 29th]